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Fire Weather Forecast

IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Thursday 27 January 2022

Issued at 6:00 am EDT on Thursday 27 January 2022.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

District District FFDI District Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
King Island 6 Low-Moderate 100  
Furneaux Islands 9 Low-Moderate 100  
North West Coast 6 Low-Moderate 100  
Central North 8 Low-Moderate 100  
North East 7 Low-Moderate 100  
East Coast 8 Low-Moderate 100  
Midlands 10 Low-Moderate 100  
Upper Derwent Valley 12 High 20  
South East 11 Low-Moderate 100  
Central Plateau 9 Low-Moderate 100  
Western 11 Low-Moderate 100  

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.

Thursday

Showers in the northwest, extending statewide during the morning, then contracting to the west and far south during the afternoon and evening. Isolated thunderstorms about the north and west, with possible heavy falls. Humid. Hot inland about the south. Northeasterly winds, fresh about the northwest and southeast, tending northerly during the day then easing later.

District Weather Elements
for Thursday 27 January 2022

Issued at 6:00 am EDT on Thursday 27 January 2022.

District TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
King Island 1 4 70 NNW 40 NW 60 800
Furneaux Islands 1 10 20 NW 30 NNW 35 900
North West Coast 1 4 65 N 40 NW 45 1100
Central North 1 6 50 NNW 35 NW 45 1400
North East 1 6 40 NNW 35 NW 45 1400
East Coast 0 7 15 NNW 55 NNW 45 1400
Midlands 0 7 25 NNW 60 NW 40 1500
Upper Derwent Valley 1 8 25 NNW 50 NW 50 1900
South East 1 9 20 NNW 55 NW 45 1500
Central Plateau 1 8 40 N 55 NW 45 1700
Western 1 9 50 NNW 50 NW 50 1900

Detailed District Forecast
for Thursday 27 January 2022

Issued at 6:00 am EDT on Thursday 27 January 2022.

  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
King Island F 6 0     0     0     0    
M 6 0     0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands F 9 0     0     0     0    
M 27 100 00 24 53 06 9 0     0    
North West Coast F 6 0     0     0     0    
M 25 62 00 18 10 02 4 0     0    
Central North F 8 0     0     0     0    
M 11 9 07 9 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
North East F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 16 29 02 15 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
East Coast F 8 0     0     0     0    
M 27 61 02 24 14 07 15 < 1 NA NA 0    
Midlands F 10 1 17 0 0     0     0    
M 19 71 08 16 0     0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley F 12 20 15 3 0     0     0    
M 13 15 02 9 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
South East F 11 5 15 2 0     0     0    
M 29 68 03 24 22 02 15 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Central Plateau F 9 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
M 17 45 02 23 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Western F 11 9 04 3 0     0     0    
M 21 38 02 21 4 02 6 < 1 NA NA 0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Thursday 27 January 2022

Issued at 6:00 am EDT on Thursday 27 January 2022.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
King Island King Island Airport 13 26 65 N 25 45 27 9 90 F         5
Furneaux Islands Flinders Island Airport 13 26 58 NNE 45 65 27 10 110 F         12
North West Coast Marrawah 13 24 69 ENE 45 65 24 10 100 F         7
Smithton Airport 15 24 69 ENE 35 60 24 10 120 F         6
Luncheon Hill 13 22 73 ENE 35 60 22 9 90 F         4
Devonport Airport 14 23 73 ENE 25 40 23 10 110 F         4
Sheffield 15 20 83 ENE 15 25 20 7 35 F         1
Central North Low Head 00 20 78 ENE 30 50 21 9 95 F         3
Launceston 16 27 54 NNE 25 40 27 10 150 F         9
Cressy 15 25 57 NNW 20 35 25 10 120 F         6
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
North East Scottsdale 16 24 65 ENE 20 40 24 9 65 F         4
Larapuna/Eddystone Point 17 25 65 NNE 35 55 25 9 85 F         6
East Coast St Helens 11 23 65 NNE 35 50 24 9 70 F         6
Fingal 12 21 69 NNE 20 35 23 10 110 F         4
Friendly Beaches 12 24 61 NNE 45 70 25 8 45 F         8
Orford 16 25 61 NNE 45 70 25 8 45 F         8
Midlands Ross 17 26 54 NNW 35 55 26 10 105 F         10
Tunnack 17 24 57 N 30 55 24 7 30 F         6
Upper Derwent Valley Ouse 16 31 38 NE 15 25 31 10 115 F         14
Bushy Park 16 31 40 NNE 20 30 31 10 125 F         14
Moogara 16 25 54 NNE 20 30 25 10 125 F         7
Hollow Tree 16 29 43 NNE 20 30 29 10 115 F         12
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
South East Campania 17 29 45 N 30 50 29 10 115 F         14
Hobart Airport 17 28 48 N 30 45 28 8 60 F         10
Hobart 17 27 51 N 35 50 27 9 65 F         11
Kunanyi/Mount Wellington 08 12 44 NNW 50 75 20 6 20 F         8
Taranna 13 23 61 NNE 40 65 23 8 45 F         7
Grove 15 28 45 N 20 35 29 10 105 F         11
Geeveston 15 29 43 NNW 20 30 29 9 85 F         11
Southport 14 27 48 N 30 45 28 9 70 F         11
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Central Plateau Cradle Valley 15 16 88 NE 25 40 17 7 30 F         1
Liawenee 15 19 68 N 30 45 19 8 55 F         4
Lake St Clair 15 24 54 N 30 60 24 8 50 F         7
Butlers Gorge 15 26 48 N 20 45 26 9 70 F         8
Western Savage River 13 25 57 NE 35 65 25 9 80 F         8
Strahan 14 29 48 NNE 40 65 29 10 100 F         16
Hazel Hill 15 29 48 NNE 20 35 29 9 70 F         9
Maydena 15 28 45 NE 20 30 29 9 95 F         10
Scotts Peak 14 29 43 NNE 15 25 30 9 85 F         10
Warra 15 26 51 N 15 20 26 9 65 F         7

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.