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IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Friday 16 January 2026

Issued at 4:02 pm EDT on Thursday 15 January 2026.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Weather District District Rating Max Sub Area Rating District FBI cHaines Wind Change Danger Index TAL Minor Fuel Type Rating >= Extreme
King Island   Moderate 12 3 0 0  
Flinders   Moderate 23 4 0 0  
Central Coast   Moderate 12 4 35 0  
Latrobe   Moderate 20 4 33 0  
Kentish   Moderate 14 6 19 0  
Burnie City   Moderate 14 5 17 0  
Devonport City   Moderate 12 3 40 0  
Circular Head   Moderate 14 3 50 0  
West Tamar   Moderate 21 6 1 0  
Launceston City   Moderate 22 7 1 0  
George Town   Moderate 21 6 18 0  
Dorset   Moderate 21 7 0 0  
Break O'Day   Moderate 21 2 0 0  
Glamorgan-Spring Bay   Moderate 16 5 0 0  
Sorell   Moderate 16 7 2 0  
Northern Midlands   Moderate 19 6 0 0  
Southern Midlands   Moderate 17 5 0 0  
Upper Derwent Valley Moderate NA 18 5 0 0  
Tasman   Moderate 19 7 0 0  
Kingborough   Moderate 18 7 0 0  
Clarence City   Moderate 20 6 1 0  
Glenorchy City   Moderate 16 5 0 0  
Hobart City   Moderate 17 5 0 0  
Brighton   Moderate 20 5 13 0  
Meander Valley   Moderate 16 7 18 0  
Central Highlands   Moderate 17 6 0 0  
Huon Valley   Moderate 21 9 0 0  
Waratah-Wynyard   Moderate 12 6 41 0  
West Coast   Moderate 16 8 29 0  
Derwent Valley   Moderate 19 10 0 0  

Note

Fire Weather District Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
District FBI (Fire Behaviour Index) is the representative peak FBI in the district. 10% of the Fire Weather District has a max FBI higher than this value.
When the table is expanded the forecast elements in the expanded rows apply to the relevant Sub Area rather than district.
Red cells indicate the value exceeds the weather alert threshold. For c-Haines this is the 95th percentile climatological value, for WCDI this is a value over 40, for Minor Fuel Type Rating this indicates Extreme or higher whilst the district rating is less than Extreme.

Friday

Isolated light showers about Bass Strait Islands, the east, southeast and far northwest. Fine elsewhere after morning valley fog. East to southeasterly winds, fresh about the Bass Strait Islands. Afternoon seabreezes about the west and northwest coast.

Detailed Forecast
for Friday 16 January 2026

Issued at 4:02 pm EDT on Thursday 15 January 2026.

Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
King Island Grassland 73% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 18% 14 0     0     0    
Forest 8% 23 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Furneaux Islands Forest 37% 24 8 13 6 0     0    
Shrubland 34% 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 29% 12 0     0     0    
District Summary   8 13 6 0     0    
North West Coast Forest 60% 14 0     0     0    
Grassland 31% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 15 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 16 0     0     0    
Woodland 1% 7 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 16 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
Central North Grassland 48% 12 0     0     0    
Forest 47% 23 4 13 6 0     0    
Woodland 2% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 13 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 25 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   4 11 9 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
North East Forest 68% 22 4 13 5 0     0    
Grassland 22% 13 0     0     0    
Pine 5% 24 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Shrubland 4% 17 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 25 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   4 10 10 0     0    
East Coast Forest 80% 16 0     0     0    
Grassland 18% 11 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 6 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 27 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Midlands Grassland 61% 14 0     0     0    
Forest 38% 20 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 4 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 24 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley Forest 55% 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 40% 13 0     0     0    
Pine 4% 24 1 15 5 0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 4 0     0     0    
District Summary   1 15 5 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
South East Forest 73% 18 0     0     0    
Grassland 20% 9 0     0     0    
Woodland 4% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 2% 10 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 26 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 19 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
Central Plateau Forest 77% 16 0     0     0    
Grassland 11% 9 0     0     0    
Shrubland 8% 3 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 18 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 2 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
Western Forest 62% 3 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 32% 21 1 10 12 0     0    
Shrubland 6% 6 0     0     0    
Grassland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 4 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 24 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   1 10 12 0     0    

Weather Information
for Friday 16 January 2026

Issued at 4:02 pm EDT on Thursday 15 January 2026.

Fire Weather District Max Temp
(deg C)		 Min RH
(%)		 Wind (km/h) 1500 m Wind (km/h) Mix Height
(m AMSL)		 TAL Rainfall
(mm)
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed
King Island 21-21 57-58 E 30-35 40-45 SE 45 2000 0 0.0-0.0
Furneaux Islands 21-21 50-53 SE 35-40 45-50 E 40 1800 0 0.0-1.0
North West Coast 22-24 37-41 E 20-25 25-35 E 20 2500 0 0.0-0.0
Central North 22-23 38-41 SE 20-25 30-35 E 25 2400 0 0.0-0.0
North East 20-22 44-50 SE 20-30 30-40 SE 30 1900 0 0.0-1.0
East Coast 18-19 51-56 SE 20-25 30-30 E 25 1800 0 0.0-1.0
Midlands 19-21 40-47 SE 20-25 25-30 E 20 1900 0 0.0-0.0
Upper Derwent Valley 20-22 40-45 E 15-20 25-30 E 20 1900 0 0.0-0.0
South East 18-19 47-52 E 20-25 30-35 E 15 1700 0 0.0-0.0
Central Plateau 19-22 33-42 E 20-20 25-30 E 20 2900 0 0.0-0.0
Western 22-25 34-40 E 20-25 25-35 E 15 2400 0 0.0-0.0
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