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IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Saturday 31 January 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Friday 30 January 2026.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Weather District District Rating Max Sub Area Rating District FBI cHaines Wind Change Danger Index TAL Minor Fuel Type Rating >= Extreme
King Island   No Rating 9 8 0 0  
Flinders   Moderate 16 9 37 0  
Central Coast   Moderate 15 9 44 0  
Latrobe   Moderate 19 9 31 0  
Kentish   Moderate 20 9 25 0  
Burnie City   Moderate 17 9 34 0  
Devonport City   Moderate 16 9 31 0  
Circular Head   Moderate 17 8 51 0  
West Tamar   Moderate 19 10 27 0  
Launceston City   Moderate 20 9 25 0  
George Town   Moderate 18 10 32 0  
Dorset   Moderate 19 9 23 0  
Break O'Day   Moderate 20 9 19 0  
Glamorgan-Spring Bay   Moderate 18 5 46 0  
Sorell   Moderate 16 5 49 0  
Northern Midlands   Moderate 23 7 30 0  
Southern Midlands   High 25 7 30 0  
Upper Derwent Valley High NA 26 6 20 0  
Tasman   Moderate 17 5 59 0  
Kingborough   Moderate 18 6 70 0  
Clarence City   Moderate 20 6 37 0  
Glenorchy City   Moderate 18 6 55 0  
Hobart City   Moderate 18 5 34 0  
Brighton   High 26 6 34 0  
Meander Valley   Moderate 18 9 22 0  
Central Highlands   Moderate 23 7 21 0  
Huon Valley   Moderate 23 7 33 0  
Waratah-Wynyard   Moderate 15 9 29 0  
West Coast   Moderate 19 8 24 0  
Derwent Valley   Moderate 22 7 23 0  

Note

Fire Weather District Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
District FBI (Fire Behaviour Index) is the representative peak FBI in the district. 10% of the Fire Weather District has a max FBI higher than this value.
When the table is expanded the forecast elements in the expanded rows apply to the relevant Sub Area rather than district.
Red cells indicate the value exceeds the weather alert threshold. For c-Haines this is the 95th percentile climatological value, for WCDI this is a value over 40, for Minor Fuel Type Rating this indicates Extreme or higher whilst the district rating is less than Extreme.

Saturday

Isolated light showers, becoming scattered about the southwest during the evening. Chance of morning valley fog. Light and variable winds, increasing to west to northwesterly during the day.

Detailed Forecast
for Saturday 31 January 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Friday 30 January 2026.

Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
King Island Grassland 73% 9 0     0     0    
Shrubland 18% 8 0     0     0    
Forest 8% 22 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands Forest 37% 17 0     0     0    
Shrubland 34% 7 0     0     0    
Grassland 29% 10 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
North West Coast Forest 60% 18 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 31% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 16 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 21 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 1% 7 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 25 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Central North Grassland 48% 15 0     0     0    
Forest 47% 23 3 13 6 0     0    
Woodland 2% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 8 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 29 1 14 6 0     0    
District Summary   4 14 6 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
North East Forest 68% 20 0     0     0    
Grassland 22% 13 0     0     0    
Pine 5% 22 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Shrubland 4% 9 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 19 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
East Coast Forest 80% 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 18% 15 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 8 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 22 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Midlands Grassland 61% 20 0     0     0    
Forest 38% 27 10 14 5 0     0    
Woodland 0% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 5 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 30 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   10 13 6 0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley Forest 55% 27 12 14 5 0     0    
Grassland 40% 22 0     0     0    
Pine 4% 35 3 14 9 0     0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 5 0     0     0    
District Summary   16 14 8 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
South East Forest 73% 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 20% 15 0     0     0    
Woodland 4% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 2% 10 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 32 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 17 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
Central Plateau Forest 77% 22 3 14 5 0     0    
Grassland 11% 16 0     0     0    
Shrubland 8% 5 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 21 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   3 14 5 0     0    
Western Forest 62% 10 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 32% 23 2 15 9 0     0    
Shrubland 6% 8 0     0     0    
Grassland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 36 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   2 14 10 0     0    

Weather Information
for Saturday 31 January 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Friday 30 January 2026.

Fire Weather District Max Temp
(deg C)		 Min RH
(%)		 Wind (km/h) 1500 m Wind (km/h) Mix Height
(m AMSL)		 TAL Rainfall
(mm)
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed
King Island 22-24 54-58 SW 20-25 25-35 W 35 1100 0 0.0-0.0
Furneaux Islands 26-27 50-54 E 15-25 20-35 W 30 1200 0 0.0-0.0
North West Coast 25-26 45-49 SW 15-25 25-35 NW 25 1800 0 0.0-1.0
Central North 26-28 37-48 NW 15-25 20-35 W 20 1900 0 0.0-0.0
North East 25-27 42-51 NW 15-20 20-30 W 20 1800 0 0.0-0.0
East Coast 26-27 37-44 NW 15-20 20-30 NW 25 2200 0 0.0-1.0
Midlands 28-29 29-33 NW 15-20 20-30 NW 25 2500 0 0.0-1.0
Upper Derwent Valley 27-29 28-32 W 15-20 20-30 NW 25 2500 0 0.0-0.0
South East 24-27 35-44 S 15-20 20-30 NW 30 2100 0 0.0-1.0
Central Plateau 23-26 33-41 W 15-25 25-35 NW 25 2600 0 0.0-0.0
Western 22-24 41-47 W 15-25 25-35 NW 30 1900 0 0.0-2.0
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