IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Wednesday 4 February 2026

Issued at 4:02 pm EDT on Tuesday 3 February 2026.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Weather District District Rating Max Sub Area Rating District FBI cHaines Wind Change Danger Index TAL Minor Fuel Type Rating >= Extreme
King Island   No Rating 11 10 27 0  
Flinders   High 35 12 36 0  
Central Coast   Moderate 23 9 39 0  
Latrobe   High 35 10 44 0  
Kentish   High 33 8 33 0  
Burnie City   High 24 9 36 0  
Devonport City   Moderate 22 10 46 0  
Circular Head   Moderate 18 10 51 0  
West Tamar   High 39 10 42 0  
Launceston City   High 45 9 27 0  
George Town   High 35 10 46 0  
Dorset   High 44 10 26 0  
Break O'Day   Extreme 51 10 20 0  
Glamorgan-Spring Bay   Extreme 53 10 42 0  
Sorell   High 33 9 38 0  
Northern Midlands   Extreme 52 9 27 0  
Southern Midlands   Extreme 51 10 33 0  
Upper Derwent Valley High NA 43 8 20 0 Y
Tasman   Moderate 22 8 70 0  
Kingborough   High 25 8 77 0  
Clarence City   High 38 8 48 0  
Glenorchy City   High 33 8 3 0  
Hobart City   Moderate 23 8 2 0  
Brighton   High 49 8 0 0  
Meander Valley   High 33 8 34 0  
Central Highlands   High 41 9 11 0  
Huon Valley   High 32 6 29 0  
Waratah-Wynyard   Moderate 20 9 35 0  
West Coast   Moderate 23 8 33 0  
Derwent Valley   High 33 7 19 0  

Note

Fire Weather District Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
District FBI (Fire Behaviour Index) is the representative peak FBI in the district. 10% of the Fire Weather District has a max FBI higher than this value.
When the table is expanded the forecast elements in the expanded rows apply to the relevant Sub Area rather than district.
Red cells indicate the value exceeds the weather alert threshold. For c-Haines this is the 95th percentile climatological value, for WCDI this is a value over 40, for Minor Fuel Type Rating this indicates Extreme or higher whilst the district rating is less than Extreme.

Wednesday

Showers developing about the west during the late afternoon, extending through the south during the evening. Fine elsewhere after the chance of morning valley fog about the Central North and Upper Derwent Valley. Northwesterly winds, fresh and gusty at times, tending west to northwesterly during the afternoon.

Detailed Forecast
for Wednesday 4 February 2026

Issued at 4:02 pm EDT on Tuesday 3 February 2026.

Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
King Island Grassland 73% 10 0     0     0    
Shrubland 18% 10 0     0     0    
Forest 8% 27 1 13 6 0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   1 13 6 0     0    
Furneaux Islands Forest 37% 38 34 11 9 0     0    
Shrubland 34% 21 1 11 9 0     0    
Grassland 29% 18 0     0     0    
District Summary   35 11 9 0     0    
North West Coast Forest 60% 28 9 13 7 0     0    
Grassland 31% 10 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 13 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 21 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 1% 8 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 50 1 12 10 < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   11 12 9 < 1 NA NA 0    
Central North Grassland 48% 22 3 13 7 0     0    
Forest 47% 51 40 12 8 5 13 5 0    
Woodland 2% 9 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 16 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 60 1 11 13 < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   45 12 11 6 13 7 0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
North East Forest 68% 50 53 12 12 7 15 3 0    
Grassland 22% 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Pine 5% 51 4 2 22 < 1 NA NA 0    
Shrubland 4% 27 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 27 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   59 11 13 7 15 8 0    
East Coast Forest 80% 52 65 12 8 25 14 5 0    
Grassland 18% 26 2 14 5 0     0    
Shrubland 1% 27 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 0% 8 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 62 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   69 12 8 25 14 5 0    
Midlands Grassland 61% 36 38 13 7 0     0    
Forest 38% 54 37 12 8 23 14 5 0    
Woodland 0% 11 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 10 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 62 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   76 12 8 23 14 5 0    
Upper Derwent Valley Forest 55% 44 35 12 8 3 13 6 0    
Grassland 40% 31 15 13 6 0     0    
Pine 4% 53 4 11 13 1 14 6 0    
Woodland 0% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 9 0     0     0    
District Summary   55 12 11 5 13 7 0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
South East Forest 73% 32 15 13 7 1 15 4 0    
Grassland 20% 22 1 15 4 0     0    
Woodland 4% 9 0     0     0    
Shrubland 2% 11 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 43 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 20 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   16 13 7 1 15 4 0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
Central Plateau Forest 77% 41 30 8 12 1 13 6 0    
Grassland 11% 21 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Shrubland 8% 13 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 26 1 10 14 0     0    
Pine 0% 20 0     0     0    
District Summary   32 8 12 1 13 6 0    
Western Forest 62% 12 1 9 11 0     0    
Buttongrass 32% 32 14 10 14 0     0    
Shrubland 6% 12 0     0     0    
Grassland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 51 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   16 9 15 < 1 NA NA 0    

Weather Information
for Wednesday 4 February 2026

Issued at 4:02 pm EDT on Tuesday 3 February 2026.

Fire Weather District Max Temp
(deg C)
Min RH
(%)
Wind (km/h) 1500 m Wind (km/h) Mix Height
(m AMSL)
TAL Rainfall
(mm)
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed
King Island 22-23 43-48 W 20-30 30-40 W 45 1000 0 0.0-0.0
Furneaux Islands 28-29 22-25 W 25-30 35-45 NW 55 1600 0 0.0-0.0
North West Coast 25-26 25-29 NW 20-30 25-40 W 50 2100 0 0.0-0.0
Central North 26-28 18-23 NW 20-30 25-45 NW 55 2300 0 0.0-0.0
North East 26-28 17-24 NW 20-30 25-40 NW 60 2100 0 0.0-0.0
East Coast 28-30 12-16 NW 20-30 25-45 NW 55 2800 0 0.0-0.0
Midlands 28-29 12-15 NW 20-30 30-45 NW 50 3300 0 0.0-0.0
Upper Derwent Valley 26-29 15-18 W 15-30 25-40 NW 50 3000 0 0.0-1.0
South East 26-28 14-27 W 15-25 20-35 NW 50 2700 0 0.0-1.0
Central Plateau 22-25 16-24 NW 25-35 35-45 NW 50 3000 0 0.0-1.0
Western 23-24 29-36 NW 25-40 35-55 NW 60 2200 0 0.0-4.0
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