IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Tuesday 17 February 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Monday 16 February 2026.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Weather District District Rating Max Sub Area Rating District FBI cHaines Wind Change Danger Index TAL Minor Fuel Type Rating >= Extreme
King Island   Moderate 21 9 45 2  
Flinders   Moderate 23 10 80 1  
Central Coast   Moderate 16 8 46 1  
Latrobe   Moderate 23 8 49 1  
Kentish   Moderate 21 6 58 1  
Burnie City   Moderate 15 8 46 1  
Devonport City   Moderate 17 8 42 1  
Circular Head   Moderate 22 8 70 2  
West Tamar   High 25 8 42 1  
Launceston City   High 29 7 7 1  
George Town   Moderate 23 8 37 1  
Dorset   Moderate 21 9 33 1  
Break O'Day   High 24 9 26 1  
Glamorgan-Spring Bay   High 42 8 34 1  
Sorell   High 45 8 49 1  
Northern Midlands   High 38 7 24 1  
Southern Midlands   High 46 9 53 1  
Upper Derwent Valley High NA 42 8 49 1 Y
Tasman   High 30 9 68 1  
Kingborough   High 39 9 72 1  
Clarence City   Extreme 52 9 47 1  
Glenorchy City   High 37 8 28 1  
Hobart City   High 40 9 49 1  
Brighton   High 49 8 30 1  
Meander Valley   Moderate 22 6 56 1  
Central Highlands   High 34 9 54 1  
Huon Valley   High 27 9 43 1  
Waratah-Wynyard   Moderate 15 8 58 1  
West Coast   High 26 8 47 1  
Derwent Valley   High 37 9 43 1  

Note

Fire Weather District Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
District FBI (Fire Behaviour Index) is the representative peak FBI in the district. 10% of the Fire Weather District has a max FBI higher than this value.
When the table is expanded the forecast elements in the expanded rows apply to the relevant Sub Area rather than district.
Red cells indicate the value exceeds the weather alert threshold. For c-Haines this is the 95th percentile climatological value, for WCDI this is a value over 40, for Minor Fuel Type Rating this indicates Extreme or higher whilst the district rating is less than Extreme.

Tuesday

Fine until showers develop in the west mid afternoon, then extend statewide during the late afternoon and evening. The chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening, possibly severe about the far northwest and King Island. North to northeasterly winds, tending fresh and gusty north to northwesterly in the afternoon, shifting westerly late.

Detailed Forecast
for Tuesday 17 February 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Monday 16 February 2026.

Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
King Island Grassland 73% 17 0     0     0    
Shrubland 18% 24 2 11 2 0     0    
Forest 8% 49 2 10 9 < 1 NA NA 0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
District Summary   4 10 9 < 1 NA NA 0    
Furneaux Islands Forest 37% 26 9 15 4 0     0    
Shrubland 34% 12 0     0     0    
Grassland 29% 15 0     0     0    
District Summary   9 15 4 0     0    
North West Coast Forest 60% 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 31% 10 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 25 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 31 1 0 15 0     0    
Woodland 1% 7 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 37 1 0 20 0     0    
District Summary   4 0 20 0     0    
Central North Grassland 48% 21 2 14 5 0     0    
Forest 47% 32 18 13 6 0     0    
Woodland 2% 9 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 11 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 50 1 9 15 < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   22 9 15 < 1 NA NA 0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
North East Forest 68% 22 2 13 6 0     0    
Grassland 22% 15 0     0     0    
Pine 5% 34 4 8 16 0     0    
Shrubland 4% 16 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 20 0     0     0    
District Summary   7 8 16 0     0    
East Coast Forest 80% 39 57 13 6 < 1 NA NA 0    
Grassland 18% 20 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Shrubland 1% 28 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 58 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   58 13 6 < 1 NA NA 0    
Midlands Grassland 61% 34 39 12 7 0     0    
Forest 38% 47 37 12 7 1 15 3 0    
Woodland 0% 11 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 54 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   77 12 7 1 13 6 0    
Upper Derwent Valley Forest 55% 43 35 13 6 < 1 NA NA 0    
Grassland 40% 37 23 13 6 0     0    
Pine 4% 55 4 8 16 2 14 4 0    
Woodland 0% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 10 0     0     0    
District Summary   62 12 12 3 13 5 0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
South East Forest 73% 40 33 12 7 2 14 4 0    
Grassland 20% 31 5 13 6 0     0    
Woodland 4% 11 0     0     0    
Shrubland 2% 23 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Pine 0% 71 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
Buttongrass 0% 19 0     0     0    
District Summary   39 12 7 2 12 8 0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
Central Plateau Forest 77% 31 22 11 8 < 1 NA NA 0    
Grassland 11% 24 1 13 5 0     0    
Shrubland 8% 12 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 29 1 8 7 0     0    
Pine 0% 18 0     0     0    
District Summary   24 10 9 < 1 NA NA 0    
Western Forest 62% 13 1 10 9 0     0    
Buttongrass 32% 32 10 2 13 < 1 NA NA 0    
Shrubland 6% 28 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 45 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   13 2 17 < 1 NA NA 0    

Weather Information
for Tuesday 17 February 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Monday 16 February 2026.

Fire Weather District Max Temp
(deg C)
Min RH
(%)
Wind (km/h) 1500 m Wind (km/h) Mix Height
(m AMSL)
TAL Rainfall
(mm)
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed
King Island 31-31 32-35 NE 30-35 45-50 NW 60 1700 2 3.0-12.0
Furneaux Islands 28-29 37-44 NE 25-30 35-40 NW 30 1100 1 2.0-9.0
North West Coast 25-27 47-57 E 25-40 35-55 N 55 1400 2 6.0-16.0
Central North 28-29 32-40 N 20-30 30-45 NW 45 2000 1 5.0-14.0
North East 27-29 38-43 N 20-25 25-35 NW 40 2000 1 4.0-14.0
East Coast 28-30 28-32 N 20-30 30-45 NW 45 2400 1 2.0-10.0
Midlands 29-30 28-31 N 25-35 35-50 NW 45 2600 1 3.0-11.0
Upper Derwent Valley 30-32 26-29 N 20-30 25-45 NW 45 2900 1 3.0-11.0
South East 31-33 24-29 N 25-35 35-50 NW 40 3000 1 3.0-13.0
Central Plateau 23-26 36-47 N 30-40 40-55 NW 45 2400 1 6.0-16.0
Western 28-31 34-39 NE 30-40 40-55 NW 55 2300 1 7.0-19.0
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