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Fire Weather Forecast

IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Thursday 26 November 2020

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Wednesday 25 November 2020.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

District District FFDI District Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
King Island 6 Low-Moderate 100  
Furneaux Islands 11 Low-Moderate 100  
North West Coast 11 Low-Moderate 100  
Central North 13 High 35  
North East 12 High 15  
East Coast 15 High 46  
Midlands 12 High 14  
Upper Derwent Valley 13 High 22  
South East 16 High 55  
Central Plateau 8 Low-Moderate 100  
Western 6 Low-Moderate 100  

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.

Thursday

Showers about the west and far south, clearing by the evening. Mainly fine elsewhere. Fresh west to southwesterly winds, tending southeasterly about the east, easing in the evening.

District Weather Elements
for Thursday 26 November 2020

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Wednesday 25 November 2020.

District TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
King Island 0 9 0 SW 40 W 75 1500
Furneaux Islands 0 8 0 WSW 55 W 85 1300
North West Coast 0 10 < 5 SW 50 WSW 80 1800
Central North 0 8 0 SW 25 WSW 75 2100
North East 0 8 0 SW 25 WSW 80 2100
East Coast 0 6 0 WSW 40 WSW 85 2100
Midlands 0 4 0 WSW 45 WSW 85 2100
Upper Derwent Valley 0 2 < 5 WSW 60 WSW 90 2000
South East 0 2 < 5 WSW 65 WSW 95 2100
Central Plateau 0 6 < 5 WSW 50 WSW 85 2100
Western 0 4 < 5 WSW 50 WSW 85 2000

Detailed District Forecast
for Thursday 26 November 2020

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Wednesday 25 November 2020.

  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
King Island F 6 0     0     0     0    
M 13 35 03 10 0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands F 11 2 13 1 0     0     0    
M 27 100 00 18 21 09 6 0     0    
North West Coast F 11 5 12 3 0     0     0    
M 17 83 02 17 0     0     0    
Central North F 13 35 11 7 0     0     0    
M 13 19 00 17 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
North East F 12 15 00 5 0     0     0    
M 20 46 00 18 3 00 4 < 1 NA NA 0    
East Coast F 15 46 11 7 0     0     0    
M 20 77 00 18 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Midlands F 12 14 12 4 0     0     0    
M 19 75 00 18 0     0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley F 13 22 13 2 0     0     0    
M 23 100 00 18 3 10 1 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
South East F 16 55 11 7 0     0     0    
M 33 100 00 22 38 01 13 2 08 3 0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Central Plateau F 8 0     0     0     0    
M 19 74 00 18 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Western F 6 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
M 18 37 00 19 1 07 2 0     0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Thursday 26 November 2020

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Wednesday 25 November 2020.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
King Island King Island Airport 11 17 48 SW 20 35 18 8 50 F         5
Furneaux Islands Flinders Island Airport 13 18 52 WSW 40 65 19 9 70 F         9
North West Coast Marrawah 11 16 55 SW 35 55 17 8 45 F         6
Smithton Airport 12 19 37 SW 30 50 19 8 55 F         11
Luncheon Hill 12 16 42 SW 30 45 17 7 40 F         7
Devonport Airport 13 20 32 SW 25 40 21 9 65 F         13
Sheffield 14 19 34 SW 20 35 19 8 40 F         9
Central North Low Head 12 18 37 WSW 35 55 20 8 60 F         12
Launceston 16 24 25 S 10 15 24 9 65 F         13
Cressy 15 22 27 SW 15 15 22 9 75 F         13
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
North East Scottsdale 13 21 33 SW 20 20 23 9 70 F         12
Larapuna/Eddystone Point 12 20 43 ESE 20 35 21 8 50 F         7
East Coast St Helens 12 20 49 ESE 20 30 21 8 55 F         6
Fingal 14 22 29 WSW 15 20 22 9 70 F         12
Friendly Beaches 13 22 27 SW 30 50 23 9 65 F         19
Orford 15 20 30 SW 25 40 20 8 60 F         12
Midlands Ross 13 19 34 WSW 20 35 20 9 65 F         10
Tunnack 14 16 42 WSW 30 50 16 8 55 F         8
Upper Derwent Valley Ouse 14 19 34 WSW 35 55 19 9 75 F         15
Bushy Park 14 19 34 WSW 35 40 19 9 75 F         15
Moogara 14 14 47 WSW 45 45 14 9 70 F         10
Hollow Tree 13 16 42 W 35 50 17 9 70 F         10
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
South East Campania 13 19 34 WSW 30 45 20 9 70 F         13
Hobart Airport 12 19 34 WSW 30 50 20 9 70 F         13
Hobart 16 20 30 WSW 25 35 20 9 70 F         14
Kunanyi/Mount Wellington 11 8 66 W 50 85 10 6 20 F         3
Taranna 14 20 35 SW 30 50 20 8 55 F         12
Grove 13 18 37 WSW 35 55 18 9 65 F         13
Geeveston 14 18 37 WSW 35 55 18 8 60 F         12
Southport 13 19 34 WSW 50 80 19 8 55 F         19
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Central Plateau Cradle Valley 11 11 58 SW 30 50 13 6 20 F         3
Liawenee 14 13 47 WSW 30 45 13 8 45 F         6
Lake St Clair 13 13 54 WSW 30 45 13 8 50 F         5
Butlers Gorge 14 13 54 WSW 30 45 13 7 35 F         4
Western Savage River 11 15 48 SW 30 40 17 6 25 F         5
Strahan 13 17 52 WSW 30 45 17 7 35 F         5
Hazel Hill 14 15 51 WSW 25 35 15 6 25 F         4
Maydena 14 16 42 WSW 40 45 16 8 55 F         10
Scotts Peak 14 15 48 WSW 30 45 16 6 20 F         5
Warra 14 14 47 WSW 40 65 14 7 35 F         7

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.