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Fire Weather Forecast

IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Wednesday 20 October 2021

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 19 October 2021.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

District District FFDI District Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
King Island 1 Low-Moderate 100  
Furneaux Islands 4 Low-Moderate 100  
North West Coast 3 Low-Moderate 100  
Central North 4 Low-Moderate 100  
North East 3 Low-Moderate 100  
East Coast 3 Low-Moderate 100  
Midlands 5 Low-Moderate 100  
Upper Derwent Valley 7 Low-Moderate 100  
South East 5 Low-Moderate 100  
Central Plateau 4 Low-Moderate 100  
Western 4 Low-Moderate 100  

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.

Wednesday

Fine, apart from possible showers about the upper East Coast. Areas of morning frost. East to northeasterly winds, freshening in the afternoon about the northwest and southeast.

District Weather Elements
for Wednesday 20 October 2021

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 19 October 2021.

District TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
King Island 0 7 < 5 NE 40 NE 5 1200
Furneaux Islands 0 2 < 5 NE 15 SSE 15 1600
North West Coast 0 5 0 NE 30 SE 10 1700
Central North 0 1 0 ENE 15 SE 5 1800
North East 0 1 < 5 ENE 15 SE 10 1700
East Coast 0 3 < 5 NE 20 SE 5 1700
Midlands 0 1 0 NNE 20 ESE 5 1800
Upper Derwent Valley 0 3 0 NNE 20 NE 5 1900
South East 0 7 0 NNE 20 NE 5 1700
Central Plateau 0 3 0 NNE 20 ENE 5 2100
Western 0 7 0 NNE 20 NE 5 2000

Detailed District Forecast
for Wednesday 20 October 2021

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 19 October 2021.

  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
King Island F 1 0     0     0     0    
M 19 100 08 16 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Furneaux Islands F 4 0     0     0     0    
M 13 43 08 11 0     0     0    
North West Coast F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 18 56 08 24 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Central North F 4 0     0     0     0    
M 12 10 12 10 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
North East F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 10 5 07 8 0     0     0    
East Coast F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 11 9 15 4 0     0     0    
Midlands F 5 0     0     0     0    
M 8 1 21 0 0     0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 10 2 21 1 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
South East F 5 0     0     0     0    
M 14 30 12 10 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Central Plateau F 4 0     0     0     0    
M 10 5 21 3 0     0     0    
Western F 4 0     0     0     0    
M 14 20 09 9 < 1 NA NA 0     0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Wednesday 20 October 2021

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 19 October 2021.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
King Island King Island Airport 15 16 68 ENE 30 45 16 3 5 F         1
Furneaux Islands Flinders Island Airport 13 16 59 E 30 40 16 6 15 F         3
North West Coast Marrawah 12 14 63 ENE 35 45 15 5 5 F         3
Smithton Airport 15 16 59 ENE 35 45 16 4 5 F         3
Luncheon Hill 11 13 58 ENE 25 35 15 4 0 F         2
Devonport Airport 12 15 51 ENE 30 40 16 4 10 F         3
Sheffield 15 15 55 NNE 15 25 15 3 5 F         1
Central North Low Head 11 14 55 ENE 25 35 15 5 10 F         3
Launceston 15 19 43 NE 15 20 19 6 20 F         5
Cressy 13 16 48 ENE 5 10 17 6 30 F         3
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
North East Scottsdale 11 13 54 E 15 20 15 4 10 F         2
Larapuna/Eddystone Point 12 15 55 ESE 15 20 15 4 15 F         2
East Coast St Helens 15 15 51 ENE 10 15 15 3 0 F         1
Fingal 15 15 48 NE 10 15 15 6 20 F         3
Friendly Beaches 11 14 51 NE 15 25 16 3 0 F         1
Orford 13 14 55 NE 20 30 15 5 20 F         2
Midlands Ross 14 16 45 NE 15 20 17 6 30 F         4
Tunnack 14 13 54 NE 15 20 14 6 15 F         3
Upper Derwent Valley Ouse 15 20 37 ENE 15 20 20 7 25 F         7
Bushy Park 16 19 37 NE 15 20 19 9 65 F         8
Moogara 15 14 51 NE 15 20 15 8 55 F         4
Hollow Tree 15 17 42 NE 15 20 17 8 55 F         6
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
South East Campania 15 17 42 NE 20 25 17 9 90 F         7
Hobart Airport 14 16 48 ENE 20 30 16 7 75 F         5
Hobart 14 17 42 ENE 20 30 17 3 35 F         3
Kunanyi/Mount Wellington 15 6 87 ENE 20 25 7 2 25 F         0
Taranna 13 14 51 NE 20 30 15 5 10 F         3
Grove 13 17 42 NE 15 20 17 5 10 F         4
Geeveston 12 15 44 NE 10 15 17 4 5 F         2
Southport 11 14 47 NE 15 15 16 5 0 F         3
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Central Plateau Cradle Valley 15 12 54 NE 20 25 12 3 0 F         1
Liawenee 14 12 50 NE 15 20 12 6 5 F         3
Lake St Clair 14 16 42 NNE 10 15 16 4 5 F         3
Butlers Gorge 13 14 47 ENE 15 20 16 5 0 F         3
Western Savage River 13 16 45 NE 20 30 16 3 0 F         2
Strahan 13 19 49 WNW 5 10 19 6 5 F         3
Hazel Hill 11 14 47 ENE 10 15 19 3 5 F         2
Maydena 14 16 45 ENE 15 20 17 7 35 F         4
Scotts Peak 14 17 39 NE 15 20 18 3 0 F         2
Warra 12 12 54 NE 10 15 15 5 0 F         2

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.