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Fire Weather Forecast

Weather Information - Fire Weather Forecast

The following weather related information courtesy of Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia

IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Saturday 19 October 2019

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Friday 18 October 2019.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

District District FFDI District Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
King Island 6 Low-Moderate 100  
Furneaux Islands 9 Low-Moderate 100  
North West Coast 7 Low-Moderate 100  
Central North 9 Low-Moderate 100  
North East 13 High 17  
East Coast 15 High 56  
Midlands 13 High 37  
Upper Derwent Valley 13 High 18  
South East 16 High 39  
Central Plateau 9 Low-Moderate 100  
Western 4 Low-Moderate 100  

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.

Saturday

Showers about western, central and southern districts as well as the Bass Strait islands, briefly extending statewide in the late morning and afternoon. Snowfalls to 600 metres, gradually rising during the day. Possible small hail, mainly about the west. Fresh to strong and gusty northwest to westerly winds, shifting west to southwesterly in the afternoon and evening.

District Weather Elements
for Saturday 19 October 2019

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Friday 18 October 2019.

District TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
King Island 1 3 25 W 70 W 75 2300
Furneaux Islands 1 3 15 W 70 W 65 2700
North West Coast 1 3 30 W 65 W 75 2400
Central North 0 3 10 W 55 W 75 2800
North East 0 3 5 W 60 W 75 2900
East Coast 0 4 < 5 W 50 W 75 3200
Midlands 0 4 < 5 W 55 W 75 3000
Upper Derwent Valley 1 3 20 W 65 W 80 2500
South East 1 3 15 W 65 W 80 2700
Central Plateau 1 3 35 W 60 W 75 2900
Western 1 3 60 W 70 W 75 2500

Detailed District Forecast
for Saturday 19 October 2019

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Friday 18 October 2019.

  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
King Island F 6 0     0     0     0    
M 25 100 04 20 31 15 3 0     0    
Furneaux Islands F 9 0     0     0     0    
M 23 100 09 15 1   0 0     0    
North West Coast F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 18 54 06 18 1 15 2 0     0    
Central North F 9 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
M 20 99 06 18 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
North East F 13 17 12 4 0     0     0    
M 22 99 09 15 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
East Coast F 15 56 11 7 0     0     0    
M 20 100 00 24 0     0     0    
Midlands F 13 37 12 5 0     0     0    
M 20 99 10 12 0     0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley F 13 18 12 4 0     0     0    
M 18 100 11 9 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
South East F 16 39 12 5 0     0     0    
M 21 95 10 14 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Central Plateau F 9 3 12 2 0     0     0    
M 17 48 10 11 0     0     0    
Western F 4 0     0     0     0    
M 7 5 12 6 0     0     0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Saturday 19 October 2019

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Friday 18 October 2019.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
King Island King Island Airport 14 13 58 W 50 80 13 5 25 F         4
Furneaux Islands Flinders Island Airport 13 14 51 W 45 65 14 7 35 F         7
North West Coast Marrawah 13 12 62 W 45 70 13 7 30 F         4
Smithton Airport 14 14 47 W 35 55 14 8 50 F         7
Luncheon Hill 15 10 71 W 30 45 10 6 25 F         2
Devonport Airport 11 13 51 WNW 40 65 13 9 65 F         8
Sheffield 15 11 50 W 35 60 11 7 40 F         5
Central North Low Head 00 11 58 W 50 75 13 8 60 F         6
Launceston 13 14 47 WNW 35 55 15 8 65 F         7
Cressy 14 14 41 WNW 30 50 14 9 75 F         9
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
North East Scottsdale 11 12 47 WNW 35 55 13 8 45 F         7
Larapuna/Eddystone Point 12 15 44 WNW 40 65 15 8 45 F         9
East Coast St Helens 12 15 31 WNW 25 45 15 8 60 F         10
Fingal 13 14 31 WNW 35 55 14 9 70 F         14
Friendly Beaches 13 17 29 WNW 30 50 17 9 85 F         15
Orford 14 15 27 W 35 60 15 7 55 F         13
Midlands Ross 14 14 31 WNW 30 50 14 8 70 F         11
Tunnack 13 11 35 W 40 65 11 7 40 F         10
Upper Derwent Valley Ouse 14 12 40 WNW 40 65 13 9 65 F         11
Bushy Park 15 14 36 WNW 40 65 13 9 85 F         13
Moogara 15 9 49 WNW 35 50 9 9 75 F         6
Hollow Tree 14 11 40 WNW 40 65 11 10 100 F         12
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
South East Campania 14 14 31 WNW 35 60 14 9 130 F         14
Hobart Airport 14 15 31 WNW 40 65 15 10 135 F         18
Hobart 14 14 31 WNW 35 60 14 9 90 F         14
Kunanyi/Mount Wellington 14 4 65 WNW 50 85 4 6 5 F         3
Taranna 14 16 31 WNW 45 65 16 8 55 F         17
Grove 14 13 35 WNW 30 45 13 8 60 F         9
Geeveston 13 13 38 WNW 30 45 13 8 45 F         8
Southport 14 13 38 WNW 35 60 13 7 40 F         8
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Central Plateau Cradle Valley 15 5 75 W 35 60 5 5 5 F         1
Liawenee 12 6 56 WNW 40 65 7 7 30 F         4
Lake St Clair 15 5 75 W 40 65 5 6 20 F         2
Butlers Gorge 15 6 75 W 40 65 6 7 25 F         2
Western Savage River 15 10 71 W 25 40 10 6 10 F         2
Strahan 14 13 58 W 45 65 13 7 25 F         5
Hazel Hill 15 12 62 WNW 35 55 11 5 20 F         3
Maydena 14 10 46 W 40 65 10 7 40 F         6
Scotts Peak 13 8 71 WNW 45 70 9 6 15 F         2
Warra 14 8 53 WNW 40 60 8 6 20 F         4

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.